MARINE MAMMAL RESEARCH NEWSLETTER     |     February 2014 (issue 9)

Number Crunching

Bowhead whales are increasingly coming into contact with human activities in the Arctic, such as the oil and gas industry which directs low-frequency sounds into the environment as part of their seismic (acoustic) surveys to discover hydrocarbon deposits. Unfortunately, bowhead whales are also low-frequency specialists and are therefore thought to be sensitive to these industrial seismic sounds.

Bowhead whales (left), and a typical seismic survey (right).

Bowhead whales (left) and a schematic of  typical seismic survey (right).

One of the key ways that scientists and resource managers quantify and limit the exposure of whales to industrial activities is to count the number of individuals in the affected area. However, counting whales is no easy task. Whales are hard to spot because they are spread over very large areas and only come to the surface for short periods to breathe. Surveys for bowhead whales are usually done by flying over the study area while observers scan the sea’s surface noting the number, activity, heading, and location for each whale sighted. These sightings are used to estimate the numbers of whales that are present.

An aerial observer scanning the sea surface and recording data.

Aerial observers scanning the sea surface for whales.

Scientists that carry out aerial surveys are aware that it is impossible for observers to spot every animal they fly over, in part because the whales are often below the surface and cannot be seen by observers. Counts can be corrected for submerged whales by knowing something about the surface and diving behavior of the whales. But what if the sounds produced during seismic surveys change the behavior of the whales, and therefore distort the number of whales potentially impacted by the industry activity? Understanding how many animals have been exposed and potentially impacted by an activity such as a seismic survey requires accounting for changes in the visibility of whales due to that same activity.

Frances Robertson, a doctoral candidate at the Marine Mammal Research Unit, has been studying how exposure to seismic operations affects the surface and dive behavior of bowhead whales. Frances found that whales vary their behavior when in the presence of seismic operations such that they are, in fact, less likely to be seen by observers during aerial surveys. This work also enabled Frances to estimate the potential bias in whale counts due to ongoing seismic survey activity and to calculate the first availability correction factors for bowhead whales exposed to seismic operations.

Estimated densities of bowhead whales exposed to seismic sounds in the southern Beaufort Sea in early September 2008 –this analysis did not correct for changes in behaviour related to seismic.

Estimated densities of bowhead whales exposed to seismic sounds in the southern Beaufort Sea in early September 2008 –this analysis did not correct for changes in behavior related to seismic. Darker patches indicate denser concentrations of bowhead whales.

The corrected estimated densities of bowhead whales exposed to seismic sounds in the southern Beaufort Sea in early September 2008 –this analysis did account for changes in behaviour of whales exposed to seismic operations.

The corrected estimated densities of bowhead whales exposed to seismic sounds in the southern Beaufort Sea in early September 2008. This analysis, which accounted for changes in behavior of whales exposed to seismic operations, revealed that more whales were potentially impacted.

Map of Alaska, the study area is depicted by the purple box.

Map of Alaska, the study area is depicted by the purple box.

Frances was able to create new whale density distribution estimates by applying her correction factors to aerial survey data in the southern Alaskan Beaufort Sea. She compared these new estimates that accounted for the whales’ behavioral reactions to seismic operations with those that did not. In short, Frances found that density assessments that did not account for behavioral changes (i.e., those that did not use the availability correction factor for whales exposed to seismic operations) underestimated the numbers of whales in the study area. In fact, it appears that previous calculations of the number of whales in areas exposed to seismic operations have been underestimated by as much as 64%. Frances’ research has also shown that bowhead whales were not deflected offshore in 2008 from areas with active seismic operations, but were lingering in some areas to feed despite the presence of seismic sounds.

Frances Robertson, Ph.D candidate

As a result of Frances’ research, the accuracy of future estimates of numbers of whales exposed to, and potentially disturbed by seismic operations, will be greatly improved. This provides scientists and managers with a more accurate means of quantifying and controlling the impact of such industrial activities on bowhead whales.

Frances Robertson is a Ph.D. candidate at U.B.C.


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